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chore: Predictions 16/03/2024
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georgedouzas committed Mar 16, 2024
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Expand Up @@ -47,19 +47,69 @@ use the predictions for your own betting.

**Value bets**

| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Win | Draw | Away Win | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|:-----------|:---------|:------------|:------------|-----------:|-------:|-----------:|-----------:|------------:|
| 2024-03-14 | England | Salford | Stockport | 2.61 | 4.19 | 3.39 | 1.8 | 2.25 |
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Win | Draw | Away Win | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|:-----------|:------------|:--------------------|:--------------|-----------:|-------:|-----------:|-----------:|------------:|
| 2024-03-17 | Italy | Verona | Milan | 2.98 | 4.15 | 3.14 | 1.81 | 2.23 |
| 2024-03-17 | France | Brest | Lille | 2.64 | 4.11 | 3.67 | 1.78 | 2.28 |
| 2024-03-17 | Germany | Karlsruhe | Magdeburg | 2.42 | 3.52 | 3.6 | 1.66 | 2.51 |
| 2024-03-17 | Belgium | Cercle Brugge | RWD Molenbeek | 1.93 | 4.26 | 4.27 | 1.68 | 2.47 |
| 2024-03-17 | Belgium | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Mechelen | 2.61 | 4.1 | 3.48 | 1.83 | 2.21 |
| 2024-03-17 | Belgium | Westerlo | Genk | 2.86 | 4.15 | 3.44 | 1.62 | 2.6 |
| 2024-03-17 | England | West Ham | Aston Villa | 2.59 | 4.22 | 3.45 | 1.84 | 2.19 |
| 2024-03-17 | England | Leeds | Millwall | 1.84 | 4.3 | 4.27 | 1.82 | 2.22 |
| 2024-03-17 | England | Salford | Morecambe | 2.42 | 4.09 | 3.74 | 1.79 | 2.27 |
| 2024-03-17 | England | Oxford City | Halifax | 2.86 | 4.27 | 3.44 | 2.03 | 1.97 |
| 2024-03-17 | Belgium | Gent | Charleroi | 2.19 | 4.23 | 3.87 | 1.79 | 2.26 |
| 2024-03-17 | Turkey | Kasimpasa | Galatasaray | 2.9 | 4.74 | 3.37 | 1.56 | 2.79 |
| 2024-03-17 | France | Clermont | Le Havre | 2.61 | 4.13 | 3.55 | 1.78 | 2.28 |
| 2024-03-17 | France | Reims | Metz | 2.38 | 4.23 | 3.57 | 1.81 | 2.24 |
| 2024-03-17 | France | Rennes | Marseille | 2.49 | 4.09 | 3.58 | 1.77 | 2.29 |
| 2024-03-17 | France | Montpellier | Paris SG | 2.9 | 4.74 | 3.37 | 1.81 | 2.23 |
| 2024-03-17 | Germany | Freiburg | Leverkusen | 2.73 | 4.57 | 4.15 | 1.69 | 2.44 |
| 2024-03-17 | Germany | Dortmund | Ein Frankfurt | 2.19 | 4.2 | 3.87 | 1.53 | 2.87 |
| 2024-03-17 | Germany | Hamburg | Wehen | 2.19 | 4.2 | 3.83 | 1.68 | 2.48 |
| 2024-03-17 | Germany | Hertha | Schalke 04 | 2.54 | 3.97 | 3.58 | 1.66 | 2.51 |
| 2024-03-17 | France | Monaco | Lorient | 1.72 | 4.26 | 4.27 | 1.68 | 2.48 |
| 2024-03-17 | Turkey | Trabzonspor | Fenerbahce | 2.86 | 4.26 | 3.18 | 1.85 | 2.18 |
| 2024-03-17 | Belgium | St Truiden | Club Brugge | 2.9 | 4.26 | 3.41 | 1.78 | 2.28 |
| 2024-03-17 | Italy | Juventus | Genoa | 2.09 | 4.08 | 3.93 | 1.83 | 2.21 |
| 2024-03-17 | Italy | Atalanta | Fiorentina | 2.4 | 4.07 | 3.8 | 1.78 | 2.29 |
| 2024-03-17 | Netherlands | Sparta Rotterdam | Ajax | 2.59 | 4.1 | 3.48 | 1.79 | 2.26 |
| 2024-03-17 | Spain | Ferrol | Valladolid | 2.64 | 4.65 | 3.61 | 1.92 | 2.09 |
| 2024-03-17 | Turkey | Rizespor | Gaziantep | 2.37 | 4.02 | 3.8 | 1.81 | 2.23 |
| 2024-03-17 | Turkey | Hatayspor | Samsunspor | 2.61 | 4.14 | 3.49 | 1.81 | 2.24 |
| 2024-03-17 | Spain | Zaragoza | Espanol | 2.71 | 4.11 | 3.63 | 1.89 | 2.12 |
| 2024-03-17 | Belgium | Antwerp | St. Gilloise | 2.94 | 4.1 | 2.81 | 1.82 | 2.21 |
| 2024-03-17 | Italy | Roma | Sassuolo | 1.85 | 4.19 | 4.27 | 1.69 | 2.45 |
| 2024-03-17 | Italy | Inter | Napoli | 2.21 | 4.23 | 3.76 | 1.8 | 2.25 |
| 2024-03-17 | Italy | Ascoli | Lecco | 2.41 | 3.95 | 3.8 | 1.79 | 2.27 |
| 2024-03-17 | Netherlands | Volendam | AZ Alkmaar | 2.45 | 3.93 | 3.03 | 1.8 | 2.25 |
| 2024-03-17 | Netherlands | Heerenveen | Feyenoord | 2.99 | 4.74 | 3.37 | 1.78 | 2.28 |
| 2024-03-17 | Netherlands | Utrecht | Nijmegen | 2.53 | 4.39 | 3.62 | 1.76 | 2.32 |
| 2024-03-17 | Spain | Elche | Albacete | 2.35 | 4.11 | 3.97 | 1.88 | 2.13 |
| 2024-03-17 | Netherlands | PSV Eindhoven | Twente | 1.84 | 4.26 | 4.27 | 1.79 | 2.27 |
| 2024-03-17 | Portugal | Moreirense | Arouca | 2.61 | 4.16 | 3.66 | 1.78 | 2.28 |
| 2024-03-17 | Portugal | Casa Pia | Benfica | 2.45 | 4.77 | 3.37 | 1.83 | 2.21 |
| 2024-03-17 | Portugal | Sp Lisbon | Boavista | 1.44 | 4.77 | 4.73 | 1.84 | 2.19 |
| 2024-03-17 | Scotland | Dundee | Rangers | 2.9 | 4.74 | 3.37 | 1.85 | 2.18 |
| 2024-03-17 | Spain | Sevilla | Celta | 2.45 | 4.09 | 3.73 | 1.82 | 2.22 |
| 2024-03-17 | Spain | Las Palmas | Almeria | 2.37 | 4.09 | 3.73 | 1.82 | 2.22 |
| 2024-03-17 | Spain | Villarreal | Valencia | 2.5 | 4.09 | 3.68 | 1.81 | 2.24 |
| 2024-03-17 | Spain | Vallecano | Betis | 2.59 | 4.13 | 3.65 | 1.84 | 2.2 |
| 2024-03-17 | Spain | Ath Madrid | Barcelona | 2.54 | 4.09 | 3.65 | 1.84 | 2.19 |
| 2024-03-17 | Spain | Leganes | Mirandes | 2.36 | 4.23 | 3.97 | 1.88 | 2.13 |
| 2024-03-17 | Portugal | Chaves | Guimaraes | 2.86 | 4.16 | 3.46 | 1.82 | 2.22 |
| 2024-03-18 | England | Crawley Town | Stockport | 2.8 | 4.2 | 3.46 | 1.83 | 2.2 |
| 2024-03-18 | Spain | Andorra | Amorebieta | 1.94 | 4.31 | 3.98 | 1.88 | 2.13 |

**Backtesting results**

| Training Start | Training End | Training Period | Testing Start | Testing End | Testing Period | Start Value | End Value | Total Return [%] | Total Bets | Win Rate [%] | Best Bet [%] | Worst Bet [%] | Avg Winning Bet [%] | Avg Losing Bet [%] | Profit Factor | Sharpe Ratio | Avg Bet Yield [%] | Std Bet Yield [%] |
|:--------------------|:--------------------|:-------------------|:--------------------|:--------------------|:------------------|--------------:|------------:|-------------------:|-------------:|---------------:|---------------:|----------------:|----------------------:|---------------------:|----------------:|---------------:|--------------------:|--------------------:|
| 2016-01-08 00:00:00 | 2017-10-21 00:00:00 | 652 days 00:00:00 | 2017-10-21 00:00:00 | 2019-01-13 00:00:00 | 450 days 00:00:00 | 1000 | 1000 | 0 | 0 | nan | nan | nan | nan | nan | nan | inf | nan | nan |
| 2016-01-08 00:00:00 | 2019-01-13 00:00:00 | 1101 days 00:00:00 | 2019-01-13 00:00:00 | 2020-07-03 00:00:00 | 538 days 00:00:00 | 1000 | 1244.95 | 24.495 | 1097 | 48.6782 | 1280 | -186.667 | 86.0811 | -70.712 | 1.13976 | 1.22939 | 5.93438 | 110.14 |
| 2016-01-08 00:00:00 | 2020-07-03 00:00:00 | 1638 days 00:00:00 | 2020-07-03 00:00:00 | 2021-10-09 00:00:00 | 464 days 00:00:00 | 1000 | 1725.85 | 72.585 | 1658 | 48.1906 | 953.2 | -186.667 | 84.7973 | -67.0219 | 1.27453 | 3.03189 | 6.26195 | 104.307 |
| 2016-01-08 00:00:00 | 2021-10-09 00:00:00 | 2101 days 00:00:00 | 2021-10-09 00:00:00 | 2023-01-07 00:00:00 | 456 days 00:00:00 | 1000 | 1533.04 | 53.304 | 1618 | 49.4438 | 605.333 | -177.778 | 79.2043 | -65.955 | 1.21404 | 2.6102 | 5.85798 | 96.1783 |
| 2016-01-08 00:00:00 | 2023-01-07 00:00:00 | 2556 days 00:00:00 | 2023-01-07 00:00:00 | 2024-03-11 00:00:00 | 430 days 00:00:00 | 1000 | 1366.63 | 36.663 | 1516 | 49.4063 | 933.333 | -184.615 | 76.1971 | -71.4444 | 1.15119 | 1.81181 | 1.68839 | 98.8106 |
| 2016-01-08 00:00:00 | 2018-01-01 00:00:00 | 724 days 00:00:00 | 2018-01-01 00:00:00 | 2019-08-23 00:00:00 | 600 days 00:00:00 | 1000 | 1086.67 | 8.667 | 94 | 54.2553 | 298.667 | -177.778 | 97.013 | -75.2638 | 1.82677 | 1.84751 | 19.0062 | 109.276 |
| 2016-01-08 00:00:00 | 2019-08-23 00:00:00 | 1323 days 00:00:00 | 2019-08-23 00:00:00 | 2021-03-13 00:00:00 | 569 days 00:00:00 | 1000 | 1621.76 | 62.176 | 2046 | 47.9472 | 1280 | -181.818 | 83.0855 | -66.4805 | 1.19179 | 2.19658 | 5.39468 | 102.742 |
| 2016-01-08 00:00:00 | 2021-03-13 00:00:00 | 1891 days 00:00:00 | 2021-03-13 00:00:00 | 2022-10-08 00:00:00 | 575 days 00:00:00 | 1000 | 1748.45 | 74.845 | 1874 | 50.1067 | 761 | -184.615 | 79.6518 | -65.0628 | 1.2515 | 2.71599 | 7.51841 | 98.0629 |
| 2016-01-08 00:00:00 | 2022-10-08 00:00:00 | 2465 days 00:00:00 | 2022-10-08 00:00:00 | 2024-03-14 00:00:00 | 524 days 00:00:00 | 1000 | 1440.1 | 44.01 | 1896 | 49.3143 | 601.333 | -185.714 | 75.438 | -70.5617 | 1.14638 | 1.82575 | 1.66038 | 96.9537 |

## Quick start

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