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lnauta committed Jan 13, 2017
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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion Chapter6_Priorities/Ch6_Priors_PyMC2.ipynb
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"\n",
"Historically, the expected return has been estimated by using the sample mean. This is a bad idea. As mentioned, the sample mean of a small sized dataset has enormous potential to be very wrong (again, see Chapter 4 for full details). Thus Bayesian inference is the correct procedure here, since we are able to see our uncertainty along with probable values.\n",
"\n",
"For this exercise, we will be examining the daily returns of the AAPL, GOOG, MSFT and AMZN. Before we pull in the data, suppose we ask our a stock fund manager (an expert in finance, but see [10] ), \n",
"For this exercise, we will be examining the daily returns of the AAPL, GOOG, TSLA and AMZN. Before we pull in the data, suppose we ask our a stock fund manager (an expert in finance, but see [10] ), \n",
"\n",
"> What do you think the return profile looks like for each of these companies?\n",
"\n",
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