diff --git a/2023-DFES/data/graphs.txt b/2023-DFES/data/graphs.txt index 32b37bf..a5f2820 100644 --- a/2023-DFES/data/graphs.txt +++ b/2023-DFES/data/graphs.txt @@ -99,22 +99,22 @@
-
Figure 11: Network peak demand breakdown - Planning Scenario (GW)
+
Figure 11: Network peak demand breakdown - NPg Best View Scenario (GW)
{% include_relative data/graphs/graph-annual-peak-demand-breakdown.html %}
{% include_relative data/graphs/graph-annual-peak-demand-breakdown.svg %}
download SVG - download CSV + download CSV
-
Figure 12: Network energy consumption breakdown - Planning Scenario (TWh)
+
Figure 12: Network energy consumption breakdown - NPg Best View Scenario (TWh)
{% include_relative data/graphs/graph-energy-consumption-breakdown.html %}
{% include_relative data/graphs/graph-energy-consumption-breakdown.svg %}
download SVG - download CSV + download CSV
@@ -129,7 +129,7 @@
-
Figure 14: Network annual fuel consumption breakdown - Planning Scenario (GWh-yr)
+
Figure 14: Network annual fuel consumption breakdown - NPg Planning Scenario (GWh-yr)
{% include_relative data/graphs/graph-fuel-consumption-planning-scenario.html %}
{% include_relative data/graphs/graph-fuel-consumption-planning-scenario.svg %}
@@ -139,22 +139,22 @@
-
Figure 15: Additional industrial peak demand breakdown - Planning Scenario (MW)
+
Figure 15: Additional industrial peak demand breakdown - NPg Best View Scenario (MW)
{% include_relative data/graphs/graph-industry-additional-peak-demand-planning-scenario.html %}
{% include_relative data/graphs/graph-industry-additional-peak-demand-planning-scenario.svg %}
download SVG - download CSV + download CSV
-
Figure 16: Additional industrial energy consumption breakdown - Planning Scenario (GWh)
+
Figure 16: Additional industrial energy consumption breakdown - NPg Best View Scenario (GWh)
{% include_relative data/graphs/graph-industry-additional-energy-consumption-planning-scenario.html %}
{% include_relative data/graphs/graph-industry-additional-energy-consumption-planning-scenario.svg %}
download SVG - download CSV + download CSV
diff --git a/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-annual-peak-demand-breakdown.html b/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-annual-peak-demand-breakdown.html index 3fe97e0..31490ba 100644 --- a/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-annual-peak-demand-breakdown.html +++ b/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-annual-peak-demand-breakdown.html @@ -1,9 +1,8 @@ - - - - - - + + + + +
Scenario203020402050
Consumer Transformation7650.91062610482.2569813024.31081
System Transformation7650.82076410044.9593413175.17392
Leading The Way7742.01306811675.7316412673.99236
NPg Best View (no TouT)7641.57648610353.4072112811.94753
Falling Short7376.3523638786.8030469370.306132
NPg Best View7448.6128099994.44038712433.63611
Domestic1.9321.9061.830
I & C4.3574.4644.395
Heat pumps - domestic0.3111.4713.333
Heat pumps - I & C0.1020.5101.114
EV0.6441.2421.317
\ No newline at end of file diff --git a/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-annual-peak-demand-breakdown.svg b/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-annual-peak-demand-breakdown.svg index 54d36ae..906a338 100644 --- a/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-annual-peak-demand-breakdown.svg +++ b/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-annual-peak-demand-breakdown.svg @@ -16,8 +16,10 @@ 0 - 5,000 - 10,000 + 1 + 2 + 3 + 4 Annual gross peak demand (GW) @@ -29,190 +31,159 @@ 2050 - Consumer Transformation - 2022: 5995.712559 - 2023: 6231.897847 - 2024: 6499.512521 - 2025: 6711.526093 - 2026: 6891.562474 - 2027: 7130.193904 - 2028: 7309.759074 - 2029: 7451.406292 - 2030: 7650.910626 - 2031: 7831.09897 - 2032: 7996.184655 - 2033: 8153.15143 - 2034: 8302.381687 - 2035: 8722.192824 - 2036: 9110.719048 - 2037: 9487.388771 - 2038: 9845.89915 - 2039: 10183.8288 - 2040: 10482.25698 - 2041: 10744.06309 - 2042: 10977.08038 - 2043: 11256.77734 - 2044: 11533.48964 - 2045: 11803.1248 - 2046: 12063.01837 - 2047: 12319.05521 - 2048: 12572.39372 - 2049: 12823.54179 - 2050: 13024.31081 + Domestic + 2022: 1.901 + 2023: 1.894 + 2024: 1.896 + 2025: 1.897 + 2026: 1.902 + 2027: 1.905 + 2028: 1.915 + 2029: 1.924 + 2030: 1.932 + 2031: 1.942 + 2032: 1.944 + 2033: 1.946 + 2034: 1.948 + 2035: 1.948 + 2036: 1.939 + 2037: 1.931 + 2038: 1.923 + 2039: 1.914 + 2040: 1.906 + 2041: 1.898 + 2042: 1.891 + 2043: 1.883 + 2044: 1.875 + 2045: 1.867 + 2046: 1.859 + 2047: 1.851 + 2048: 1.843 + 2049: 1.836 + 2050: 1.830 - System Transformation - 2022: 6021.497055 - 2023: 6268.849153 - 2024: 6555.100224 - 2025: 6760.646909 - 2026: 6909.930106 - 2027: 7103.895986 - 2028: 7293.259839 - 2029: 7452.669477 - 2030: 7650.820764 - 2031: 7826.761395 - 2032: 7995.787189 - 2033: 8160.513242 - 2034: 8321.669756 - 2035: 8792.788657 - 2036: 9049.113617 - 2037: 9299.074447 - 2038: 9547.625773 - 2039: 9797.27353 - 2040: 10044.95934 - 2041: 10285.23721 - 2042: 10531.18934 - 2043: 10791.74396 - 2044: 11072.05218 - 2045: 11377.46327 - 2046: 11704.49413 - 2047: 12051.0731 - 2048: 12414.03982 - 2049: 12796.33046 - 2050: 13175.17392 + I & C + 2022: 3.947 + 2023: 4.136 + 2024: 4.299 + 2025: 4.362 + 2026: 4.345 + 2027: 4.364 + 2028: 4.377 + 2029: 4.353 + 2030: 4.357 + 2031: 4.339 + 2032: 4.322 + 2033: 4.306 + 2034: 4.291 + 2035: 4.517 + 2036: 4.505 + 2037: 4.494 + 2038: 4.483 + 2039: 4.473 + 2040: 4.464 + 2041: 4.456 + 2042: 4.448 + 2043: 4.440 + 2044: 4.433 + 2045: 4.426 + 2046: 4.420 + 2047: 4.414 + 2048: 4.407 + 2049: 4.401 + 2050: 4.395 - Leading The Way - 2022: 5995.712559 - 2023: 6231.096783 - 2024: 6498.81177 - 2025: 6720.34205 - 2026: 6916.798092 - 2027: 7169.978353 - 2028: 7351.555524 - 2029: 7492.840604 - 2030: 7742.013068 - 2031: 8202.527517 - 2032: 8643.329692 - 2033: 9068.461146 - 2034: 9474.334362 - 2035: 10095.41165 - 2036: 10457.55682 - 2037: 10802.83569 - 2038: 11126.72912 - 2039: 11425.72523 - 2040: 11675.73164 - 2041: 11890.77339 - 2042: 12083.31242 - 2043: 12327.86568 - 2044: 12574.18742 - 2045: 12767.05758 - 2046: 12747.90383 - 2047: 12728.43257 - 2048: 12709.65617 - 2049: 12691.29411 - 2050: 12673.99236 + Heat pumps - domestic + 2022: 0.043 + 2023: 0.053 + 2024: 0.072 + 2025: 0.118 + 2026: 0.185 + 2027: 0.265 + 2028: 0.284 + 2029: 0.297 + 2030: 0.311 + 2031: 0.324 + 2032: 0.337 + 2033: 0.351 + 2034: 0.365 + 2035: 0.426 + 2036: 0.647 + 2037: 0.868 + 2038: 1.083 + 2039: 1.289 + 2040: 1.471 + 2041: 1.631 + 2042: 1.776 + 2043: 1.977 + 2044: 2.183 + 2045: 2.387 + 2046: 2.589 + 2047: 2.790 + 2048: 2.989 + 2049: 3.187 + 2050: 3.333 - NPg Best View (no TouT) - 2022: 5995.712559 - 2023: 6230.403368 - 2024: 6495.350229 - 2025: 6703.510658 - 2026: 6883.662883 - 2027: 7124.200686 - 2028: 7302.134749 - 2029: 7444.882573 - 2030: 7641.576486 - 2031: 7817.181574 - 2032: 7979.144442 - 2033: 8132.433734 - 2034: 8274.36738 - 2035: 8682.406232 - 2036: 9055.534501 - 2037: 9414.896822 - 2038: 9754.757657 - 2039: 10073.51204 - 2040: 10353.40721 - 2041: 10599.83546 - 2042: 10819.07917 - 2043: 11086.85799 - 2044: 11353.13069 - 2045: 11614.21599 - 2046: 11868.50096 - 2047: 12119.52803 - 2048: 12368.50272 - 2049: 12615.28609 - 2050: 12811.94753 + Heat pumps - I & C + 2022: 0.042 + 2023: 0.046 + 2024: 0.051 + 2025: 0.055 + 2026: 0.060 + 2027: 0.071 + 2028: 0.082 + 2029: 0.092 + 2030: 0.102 + 2031: 0.110 + 2032: 0.119 + 2033: 0.127 + 2034: 0.135 + 2035: 0.143 + 2036: 0.220 + 2037: 0.296 + 2038: 0.370 + 2039: 0.442 + 2040: 0.510 + 2041: 0.576 + 2042: 0.639 + 2043: 0.701 + 2044: 0.762 + 2045: 0.823 + 2046: 0.883 + 2047: 0.942 + 2048: 1.000 + 2049: 1.057 + 2050: 1.114 - Falling Short - 2022: 6021.389369 - 2023: 6273.484491 - 2024: 6513.526702 - 2025: 6675.287739 - 2026: 6768.777811 - 2027: 6913.64966 - 2028: 7073.196722 - 2029: 7213.073379 - 2030: 7376.352363 - 2031: 7514.08702 - 2032: 7645.146006 - 2033: 7772.551206 - 2034: 7893.282672 - 2035: 8256.141417 - 2036: 8373.665246 - 2037: 8489.700199 - 2038: 8593.375873 - 2039: 8692.856329 - 2040: 8786.803046 - 2041: 8872.715631 - 2042: 8952.076715 - 2043: 9023.896906 - 2044: 9089.046096 - 2045: 9148.114761 - 2046: 9200.033328 - 2047: 9248.178769 - 2048: 9293.668968 - 2049: 9336.142927 - 2050: 9370.306132 - - NPg Best View - 2022: 5986.164637 - 2023: 6206.841958 - 2024: 6452.951423 - 2025: 6636.263825 - 2026: 6790.132732 - 2027: 7002.638896 - 2028: 7157.985186 - 2029: 7277.915904 - 2030: 7448.612809 - 2031: 7598.457178 - 2032: 7734.11356 - 2033: 7863.489208 - 2034: 7984.231654 - 2035: 8375.205427 - 2036: 8734.315833 - 2037: 9081.68122 - 2038: 9411.37057 - 2039: 9721.472159 - 2040: 9994.440387 - 2041: 10235.59242 - 2042: 10450.83327 - 2043: 10715.73875 - 2044: 10980.03499 - 2045: 11239.68112 - 2046: 11493.23124 - 2047: 11743.62515 - 2048: 11991.85622 - 2049: 12237.85302 - 2050: 12433.63611 + EV + 2022: 0.051 + 2023: 0.073 + 2024: 0.128 + 2025: 0.192 + 2026: 0.278 + 2027: 0.363 + 2028: 0.449 + 2029: 0.537 + 2030: 0.644 + 2031: 0.747 + 2032: 0.838 + 2033: 0.921 + 2034: 0.995 + 2035: 1.056 + 2036: 1.106 + 2037: 1.149 + 2038: 1.186 + 2039: 1.217 + 2040: 1.242 + 2041: 1.262 + 2042: 1.277 + 2043: 1.288 + 2044: 1.296 + 2045: 1.301 + 2046: 1.305 + 2047: 1.307 + 2048: 1.310 + 2049: 1.313 + 2050: 1.317 diff --git a/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-energy-consumption-breakdown.html b/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-energy-consumption-breakdown.html index 3fe97e0..31490ba 100644 --- a/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-energy-consumption-breakdown.html +++ b/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-energy-consumption-breakdown.html @@ -1,9 +1,8 @@ - - - - - - + + + + +
Scenario203020402050
Consumer Transformation7650.91062610482.2569813024.31081
System Transformation7650.82076410044.9593413175.17392
Leading The Way7742.01306811675.7316412673.99236
NPg Best View (no TouT)7641.57648610353.4072112811.94753
Falling Short7376.3523638786.8030469370.306132
NPg Best View7448.6128099994.44038712433.63611
Domestic1.9321.9061.830
I & C4.3574.4644.395
Heat pumps - domestic0.3111.4713.333
Heat pumps - I & C0.1020.5101.114
EV0.6441.2421.317
\ No newline at end of file diff --git a/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-energy-consumption-breakdown.svg b/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-energy-consumption-breakdown.svg index fa37c47..2bcf20c 100644 --- a/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-energy-consumption-breakdown.svg +++ b/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-energy-consumption-breakdown.svg @@ -16,8 +16,10 @@ 0 - 5,000 - 10,000 + 1 + 2 + 3 + 4 Network energy consumption (TWh) @@ -29,190 +31,159 @@ 2050 - Consumer Transformation - 2022: 5995.712559 - 2023: 6231.897847 - 2024: 6499.512521 - 2025: 6711.526093 - 2026: 6891.562474 - 2027: 7130.193904 - 2028: 7309.759074 - 2029: 7451.406292 - 2030: 7650.910626 - 2031: 7831.09897 - 2032: 7996.184655 - 2033: 8153.15143 - 2034: 8302.381687 - 2035: 8722.192824 - 2036: 9110.719048 - 2037: 9487.388771 - 2038: 9845.89915 - 2039: 10183.8288 - 2040: 10482.25698 - 2041: 10744.06309 - 2042: 10977.08038 - 2043: 11256.77734 - 2044: 11533.48964 - 2045: 11803.1248 - 2046: 12063.01837 - 2047: 12319.05521 - 2048: 12572.39372 - 2049: 12823.54179 - 2050: 13024.31081 + Domestic + 2022: 1.901 + 2023: 1.894 + 2024: 1.896 + 2025: 1.897 + 2026: 1.902 + 2027: 1.905 + 2028: 1.915 + 2029: 1.924 + 2030: 1.932 + 2031: 1.942 + 2032: 1.944 + 2033: 1.946 + 2034: 1.948 + 2035: 1.948 + 2036: 1.939 + 2037: 1.931 + 2038: 1.923 + 2039: 1.914 + 2040: 1.906 + 2041: 1.898 + 2042: 1.891 + 2043: 1.883 + 2044: 1.875 + 2045: 1.867 + 2046: 1.859 + 2047: 1.851 + 2048: 1.843 + 2049: 1.836 + 2050: 1.830 - System Transformation - 2022: 6021.497055 - 2023: 6268.849153 - 2024: 6555.100224 - 2025: 6760.646909 - 2026: 6909.930106 - 2027: 7103.895986 - 2028: 7293.259839 - 2029: 7452.669477 - 2030: 7650.820764 - 2031: 7826.761395 - 2032: 7995.787189 - 2033: 8160.513242 - 2034: 8321.669756 - 2035: 8792.788657 - 2036: 9049.113617 - 2037: 9299.074447 - 2038: 9547.625773 - 2039: 9797.27353 - 2040: 10044.95934 - 2041: 10285.23721 - 2042: 10531.18934 - 2043: 10791.74396 - 2044: 11072.05218 - 2045: 11377.46327 - 2046: 11704.49413 - 2047: 12051.0731 - 2048: 12414.03982 - 2049: 12796.33046 - 2050: 13175.17392 + I & C + 2022: 3.947 + 2023: 4.136 + 2024: 4.299 + 2025: 4.362 + 2026: 4.345 + 2027: 4.364 + 2028: 4.377 + 2029: 4.353 + 2030: 4.357 + 2031: 4.339 + 2032: 4.322 + 2033: 4.306 + 2034: 4.291 + 2035: 4.517 + 2036: 4.505 + 2037: 4.494 + 2038: 4.483 + 2039: 4.473 + 2040: 4.464 + 2041: 4.456 + 2042: 4.448 + 2043: 4.440 + 2044: 4.433 + 2045: 4.426 + 2046: 4.420 + 2047: 4.414 + 2048: 4.407 + 2049: 4.401 + 2050: 4.395 - Leading The Way - 2022: 5995.712559 - 2023: 6231.096783 - 2024: 6498.81177 - 2025: 6720.34205 - 2026: 6916.798092 - 2027: 7169.978353 - 2028: 7351.555524 - 2029: 7492.840604 - 2030: 7742.013068 - 2031: 8202.527517 - 2032: 8643.329692 - 2033: 9068.461146 - 2034: 9474.334362 - 2035: 10095.41165 - 2036: 10457.55682 - 2037: 10802.83569 - 2038: 11126.72912 - 2039: 11425.72523 - 2040: 11675.73164 - 2041: 11890.77339 - 2042: 12083.31242 - 2043: 12327.86568 - 2044: 12574.18742 - 2045: 12767.05758 - 2046: 12747.90383 - 2047: 12728.43257 - 2048: 12709.65617 - 2049: 12691.29411 - 2050: 12673.99236 + Heat pumps - domestic + 2022: 0.043 + 2023: 0.053 + 2024: 0.072 + 2025: 0.118 + 2026: 0.185 + 2027: 0.265 + 2028: 0.284 + 2029: 0.297 + 2030: 0.311 + 2031: 0.324 + 2032: 0.337 + 2033: 0.351 + 2034: 0.365 + 2035: 0.426 + 2036: 0.647 + 2037: 0.868 + 2038: 1.083 + 2039: 1.289 + 2040: 1.471 + 2041: 1.631 + 2042: 1.776 + 2043: 1.977 + 2044: 2.183 + 2045: 2.387 + 2046: 2.589 + 2047: 2.790 + 2048: 2.989 + 2049: 3.187 + 2050: 3.333 - NPg Best View (no TouT) - 2022: 5995.712559 - 2023: 6230.403368 - 2024: 6495.350229 - 2025: 6703.510658 - 2026: 6883.662883 - 2027: 7124.200686 - 2028: 7302.134749 - 2029: 7444.882573 - 2030: 7641.576486 - 2031: 7817.181574 - 2032: 7979.144442 - 2033: 8132.433734 - 2034: 8274.36738 - 2035: 8682.406232 - 2036: 9055.534501 - 2037: 9414.896822 - 2038: 9754.757657 - 2039: 10073.51204 - 2040: 10353.40721 - 2041: 10599.83546 - 2042: 10819.07917 - 2043: 11086.85799 - 2044: 11353.13069 - 2045: 11614.21599 - 2046: 11868.50096 - 2047: 12119.52803 - 2048: 12368.50272 - 2049: 12615.28609 - 2050: 12811.94753 + Heat pumps - I & C + 2022: 0.042 + 2023: 0.046 + 2024: 0.051 + 2025: 0.055 + 2026: 0.060 + 2027: 0.071 + 2028: 0.082 + 2029: 0.092 + 2030: 0.102 + 2031: 0.110 + 2032: 0.119 + 2033: 0.127 + 2034: 0.135 + 2035: 0.143 + 2036: 0.220 + 2037: 0.296 + 2038: 0.370 + 2039: 0.442 + 2040: 0.510 + 2041: 0.576 + 2042: 0.639 + 2043: 0.701 + 2044: 0.762 + 2045: 0.823 + 2046: 0.883 + 2047: 0.942 + 2048: 1.000 + 2049: 1.057 + 2050: 1.114 - Falling Short - 2022: 6021.389369 - 2023: 6273.484491 - 2024: 6513.526702 - 2025: 6675.287739 - 2026: 6768.777811 - 2027: 6913.64966 - 2028: 7073.196722 - 2029: 7213.073379 - 2030: 7376.352363 - 2031: 7514.08702 - 2032: 7645.146006 - 2033: 7772.551206 - 2034: 7893.282672 - 2035: 8256.141417 - 2036: 8373.665246 - 2037: 8489.700199 - 2038: 8593.375873 - 2039: 8692.856329 - 2040: 8786.803046 - 2041: 8872.715631 - 2042: 8952.076715 - 2043: 9023.896906 - 2044: 9089.046096 - 2045: 9148.114761 - 2046: 9200.033328 - 2047: 9248.178769 - 2048: 9293.668968 - 2049: 9336.142927 - 2050: 9370.306132 - - NPg Best View - 2022: 5986.164637 - 2023: 6206.841958 - 2024: 6452.951423 - 2025: 6636.263825 - 2026: 6790.132732 - 2027: 7002.638896 - 2028: 7157.985186 - 2029: 7277.915904 - 2030: 7448.612809 - 2031: 7598.457178 - 2032: 7734.11356 - 2033: 7863.489208 - 2034: 7984.231654 - 2035: 8375.205427 - 2036: 8734.315833 - 2037: 9081.68122 - 2038: 9411.37057 - 2039: 9721.472159 - 2040: 9994.440387 - 2041: 10235.59242 - 2042: 10450.83327 - 2043: 10715.73875 - 2044: 10980.03499 - 2045: 11239.68112 - 2046: 11493.23124 - 2047: 11743.62515 - 2048: 11991.85622 - 2049: 12237.85302 - 2050: 12433.63611 + EV + 2022: 0.051 + 2023: 0.073 + 2024: 0.128 + 2025: 0.192 + 2026: 0.278 + 2027: 0.363 + 2028: 0.449 + 2029: 0.537 + 2030: 0.644 + 2031: 0.747 + 2032: 0.838 + 2033: 0.921 + 2034: 0.995 + 2035: 1.056 + 2036: 1.106 + 2037: 1.149 + 2038: 1.186 + 2039: 1.217 + 2040: 1.242 + 2041: 1.262 + 2042: 1.277 + 2043: 1.288 + 2044: 1.296 + 2045: 1.301 + 2046: 1.305 + 2047: 1.307 + 2048: 1.310 + 2049: 1.313 + 2050: 1.317 diff --git a/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-industry-additional-energy-consumption-planning-scenario.html b/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-industry-additional-energy-consumption-planning-scenario.html index cae1066..5e5cc7a 100644 --- a/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-industry-additional-energy-consumption-planning-scenario.html +++ b/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-industry-additional-energy-consumption-planning-scenario.html @@ -1,9 +1,7 @@ - - - - - - + + + +
Scenario203020402050
Natural gas40.2781341216.357481610.08463351
Solid fuel0.414690950.1063968530.008943769
Petroleum40.536435165.3353057570.106090039
Hydrogen0.1333251412.0186578553.947998708
Bioenergy2.1803070730.965203870.606035703
Electricity43.9155421865.0504554472.94932022
Electric HGVs1197.0364802.4315334.068
Electric Buses266.662632.038688.295
Electrolysers3607.5645823.02711649.500
Large industry Fuel Switching1721.8063810.9355474.819
\ No newline at end of file diff --git a/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-industry-additional-energy-consumption-planning-scenario.svg b/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-industry-additional-energy-consumption-planning-scenario.svg index 8fa997f..5b822ed 100644 --- a/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-industry-additional-energy-consumption-planning-scenario.svg +++ b/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-industry-additional-energy-consumption-planning-scenario.svg @@ -16,9 +16,12 @@ 0 - 20 - 40 - 60 + 2,000 + 4,000 + 6,000 + 8,000 + 10,000 + 12,000 Energy consumption (GWh) @@ -30,190 +33,128 @@ 2050 - Natural gas - 2022: 53.13282085 - 2023: 52.32792356 - 2024: 51.48896951 - 2025: 50.31887711 - 2026: 48.88987008 - 2027: 47.18171055 - 2028: 44.94243092 - 2029: 42.64353589 - 2030: 40.27813412 - 2031: 38.38003155 - 2032: 36.35306385 - 2033: 34.04627562 - 2034: 31.41597747 - 2035: 28.77558852 - 2036: 26.26783741 - 2037: 23.86190039 - 2038: 21.43795253 - 2039: 18.94160297 - 2040: 16.35748161 - 2041: 13.61294144 - 2042: 11.14976973 - 2043: 8.977851094 - 2044: 6.891499162 - 2045: 5.108797398 - 2046: 3.495933276 - 2047: 1.916921189 - 2048: 0.665254067 - 2049: 0.349257581 - 2050: 0.08463351 + Electric HGVs + 2022: 7.358 + 2023: 29.655 + 2024: 67.952 + 2025: 128.472 + 2026: 226.262 + 2027: 372.331 + 2028: 578.336 + 2029: 852.773 + 2030: 1197.036 + 2031: 1601.226 + 2032: 2046.285 + 2033: 2510.424 + 2034: 2967.360 + 2035: 3395.532 + 2036: 3780.729 + 2037: 4115.227 + 2038: 4395.964 + 2039: 4623.700 + 2040: 4802.431 + 2041: 4938.965 + 2042: 5040.993 + 2043: 5116.258 + 2044: 5171.979 + 2045: 5213.920 + 2046: 5246.468 + 2047: 5272.839 + 2048: 5295.308 + 2049: 5315.396 + 2050: 5334.068 - Solid fuel - 2022: 0.778931491 - 2023: 0.738258594 - 2024: 0.696961522 - 2025: 0.660637499 - 2026: 0.61288972 - 2027: 0.555003654 - 2028: 0.492340599 - 2029: 0.453079198 - 2030: 0.41469095 - 2031: 0.380924841 - 2032: 0.347443149 - 2033: 0.315694365 - 2034: 0.28420752 - 2035: 0.254189982 - 2036: 0.225072745 - 2037: 0.195873211 - 2038: 0.166761976 - 2039: 0.13659035 - 2040: 0.106396853 - 2041: 0.076128352 - 2042: 0.045945238 - 2043: 0.017155439 - 2044: 0.014382823 - 2045: 0.013206738 - 2046: 0.012091649 - 2047: 0.010995857 - 2048: 0.010025978 - 2049: 0.009457742 - 2050: 0.008943769 + Electric Buses + 2022: 28.257 + 2023: 42.175 + 2024: 62.612 + 2025: 87.379 + 2026: 116.331 + 2027: 149.044 + 2028: 184.941 + 2029: 224.389 + 2030: 266.662 + 2031: 310.668 + 2032: 355.132 + 2033: 399.438 + 2034: 442.628 + 2035: 483.742 + 2036: 521.830 + 2037: 556.093 + 2038: 585.998 + 2039: 611.319 + 2040: 632.038 + 2041: 648.490 + 2042: 661.418 + 2043: 671.246 + 2044: 678.409 + 2045: 683.324 + 2046: 686.395 + 2047: 688.025 + 2048: 688.638 + 2049: 688.623 + 2050: 688.295 - Petroleum - 2022: 74.04434804 - 2023: 71.49879131 - 2024: 68.65574047 - 2025: 65.02666729 - 2026: 60.28360617 - 2027: 55.48321389 - 2028: 50.47066188 - 2029: 45.40402314 - 2030: 40.53643516 - 2031: 35.70762412 - 2032: 30.5554031 - 2033: 25.83388586 - 2034: 21.57096479 - 2035: 17.76077072 - 2036: 14.57126362 - 2037: 11.76454965 - 2038: 9.307490012 - 2039: 7.171547064 - 2040: 5.335305757 - 2041: 3.845453143 - 2042: 2.644708118 - 2043: 1.694406957 - 2044: 1.076805078 - 2045: 0.667724326 - 2046: 0.438689889 - 2047: 0.272405402 - 2048: 0.195002807 - 2049: 0.142304059 - 2050: 0.106090039 + Electrolysers + 2022: 0.000 + 2023: 4.891 + 2024: 26.759 + 2025: 755.905 + 2026: 1145.787 + 2027: 1571.191 + 2028: 2060.837 + 2029: 2655.590 + 2030: 3607.564 + 2031: 3977.024 + 2032: 3991.549 + 2033: 4378.840 + 2034: 4768.940 + 2035: 4788.021 + 2036: 5367.407 + 2037: 5280.692 + 2038: 5314.578 + 2039: 5392.574 + 2040: 5823.027 + 2041: 6980.519 + 2042: 7890.430 + 2043: 8707.204 + 2044: 9597.262 + 2045: 10181.095 + 2046: 10715.811 + 2047: 11027.532 + 2048: 11172.637 + 2049: 11576.248 + 2050: 11649.500 - Hydrogen - 2022: 0.008665637 - 2023: 0.010189035 - 2024: 0.012560961 - 2025: 0.015949707 - 2026: 0.018421935 - 2027: 0.021838353 - 2028: 0.026750654 - 2029: 0.031719783 - 2030: 0.133325141 - 2031: 0.237549969 - 2032: 0.346393774 - 2033: 0.486893161 - 2034: 0.645409579 - 2035: 0.829372969 - 2036: 1.032309103 - 2037: 1.222628164 - 2038: 1.435789166 - 2039: 1.674208179 - 2040: 2.018657855 - 2041: 2.452796546 - 2042: 2.829535777 - 2043: 3.094175924 - 2044: 3.373691139 - 2045: 3.565550821 - 2046: 3.681565293 - 2047: 3.791104956 - 2048: 3.867442911 - 2049: 3.944362693 - 2050: 3.947998708 - - Bioenergy - 2022: 3.512886537 - 2023: 3.377818664 - 2024: 3.238947247 - 2025: 3.107587944 - 2026: 2.929259011 - 2027: 2.72324741 - 2028: 2.501197541 - 2029: 2.33927524 - 2030: 2.180307073 - 2031: 2.055237162 - 2032: 1.931170595 - 2033: 1.813811937 - 2034: 1.682571241 - 2035: 1.50542601 - 2036: 1.399214365 - 2037: 1.292510304 - 2038: 1.18625795 - 2039: 1.07555904 - 2040: 0.96520387 - 2041: 0.854827005 - 2042: 0.744434673 - 2043: 0.639614362 - 2044: 0.624410981 - 2045: 0.617114152 - 2046: 0.614578287 - 2047: 0.612069408 - 2048: 0.610021021 - 2049: 0.608027412 - 2050: 0.606035703 - - Electricity - 2022: 35.94381194 - 2023: 36.06186494 - 2024: 36.35850758 - 2025: 36.83997375 - 2026: 37.57741574 - 2027: 38.61975801 - 2028: 40.00863838 - 2029: 41.6935327 - 2030: 43.91554218 - 2031: 45.98192321 - 2032: 48.02241182 - 2033: 50.19708776 - 2034: 52.37522558 - 2035: 54.92243512 - 2036: 57.33254914 - 2037: 59.43050057 - 2038: 61.45301793 - 2039: 63.33642689 - 2040: 65.05045544 - 2041: 66.54649409 - 2042: 67.87146549 - 2043: 69.00722751 - 2044: 69.96278886 - 2045: 70.77192916 - 2046: 71.46123151 - 2047: 72.14521235 - 2048: 72.79739976 - 2049: 72.91740309 - 2050: 72.94932022 + Large industry Fuel Switching + 2022: 253.771 + 2023: 380.657 + 2024: 507.543 + 2025: 634.428 + 2026: 851.904 + 2027: 1069.379 + 2028: 1286.855 + 2029: 1504.331 + 2030: 1721.806 + 2031: 1912.835 + 2032: 2103.863 + 2033: 2294.892 + 2034: 2485.921 + 2035: 2676.949 + 2036: 2903.746 + 2037: 3130.543 + 2038: 3357.340 + 2039: 3584.138 + 2040: 3810.935 + 2041: 4143.711 + 2042: 4476.488 + 2043: 4809.265 + 2044: 5142.042 + 2045: 5474.819 + 2046: 5474.819 + 2047: 5474.819 + 2048: 5474.819 + 2049: 5474.819 + 2050: 5474.819 diff --git a/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-industry-additional-peak-demand-planning-scenario.html b/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-industry-additional-peak-demand-planning-scenario.html index cae1066..dba5761 100644 --- a/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-industry-additional-peak-demand-planning-scenario.html +++ b/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-industry-additional-peak-demand-planning-scenario.html @@ -1,9 +1,7 @@ - - - - - - + + + +
Scenario203020402050
Natural gas40.2781341216.357481610.08463351
Solid fuel0.414690950.1063968530.008943769
Petroleum40.536435165.3353057570.106090039
Hydrogen0.1333251412.0186578553.947998708
Bioenergy2.1803070730.965203870.606035703
Electricity43.9155421865.0504554472.94932022
Electric HGVs94.960380.974423.149
Electric Buses8.43119.98221.761
Electrolysers411.822664.7291329.852
Large industry Fuel Switching196.553435.038624.979
\ No newline at end of file diff --git a/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-industry-additional-peak-demand-planning-scenario.svg b/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-industry-additional-peak-demand-planning-scenario.svg index 845d438..32d8174 100644 --- a/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-industry-additional-peak-demand-planning-scenario.svg +++ b/2023-DFES/data/graphs/graph-industry-additional-peak-demand-planning-scenario.svg @@ -16,9 +16,8 @@ 0 - 20 - 40 - 60 + 500 + 1,000 Peak demand (MW) @@ -30,190 +29,128 @@ 2050 - Natural gas - 2022: 53.13282085 - 2023: 52.32792356 - 2024: 51.48896951 - 2025: 50.31887711 - 2026: 48.88987008 - 2027: 47.18171055 - 2028: 44.94243092 - 2029: 42.64353589 - 2030: 40.27813412 - 2031: 38.38003155 - 2032: 36.35306385 - 2033: 34.04627562 - 2034: 31.41597747 - 2035: 28.77558852 - 2036: 26.26783741 - 2037: 23.86190039 - 2038: 21.43795253 - 2039: 18.94160297 - 2040: 16.35748161 - 2041: 13.61294144 - 2042: 11.14976973 - 2043: 8.977851094 - 2044: 6.891499162 - 2045: 5.108797398 - 2046: 3.495933276 - 2047: 1.916921189 - 2048: 0.665254067 - 2049: 0.349257581 - 2050: 0.08463351 + Electric HGVs + 2022: 0.584 + 2023: 2.352 + 2024: 5.391 + 2025: 10.192 + 2026: 17.949 + 2027: 29.537 + 2028: 45.879 + 2029: 67.650 + 2030: 94.960 + 2031: 127.024 + 2032: 162.331 + 2033: 199.151 + 2034: 235.399 + 2035: 269.366 + 2036: 299.923 + 2037: 326.459 + 2038: 348.729 + 2039: 366.796 + 2040: 380.974 + 2041: 391.805 + 2042: 399.899 + 2043: 405.870 + 2044: 410.290 + 2045: 413.617 + 2046: 416.199 + 2047: 418.291 + 2048: 420.074 + 2049: 421.667 + 2050: 423.149 - Solid fuel - 2022: 0.778931491 - 2023: 0.738258594 - 2024: 0.696961522 - 2025: 0.660637499 - 2026: 0.61288972 - 2027: 0.555003654 - 2028: 0.492340599 - 2029: 0.453079198 - 2030: 0.41469095 - 2031: 0.380924841 - 2032: 0.347443149 - 2033: 0.315694365 - 2034: 0.28420752 - 2035: 0.254189982 - 2036: 0.225072745 - 2037: 0.195873211 - 2038: 0.166761976 - 2039: 0.13659035 - 2040: 0.106396853 - 2041: 0.076128352 - 2042: 0.045945238 - 2043: 0.017155439 - 2044: 0.014382823 - 2045: 0.013206738 - 2046: 0.012091649 - 2047: 0.010995857 - 2048: 0.010025978 - 2049: 0.009457742 - 2050: 0.008943769 + Electric Buses + 2022: 0.893 + 2023: 1.333 + 2024: 1.980 + 2025: 2.763 + 2026: 3.678 + 2027: 4.712 + 2028: 5.847 + 2029: 7.094 + 2030: 8.431 + 2031: 9.822 + 2032: 11.228 + 2033: 12.628 + 2034: 13.994 + 2035: 15.294 + 2036: 16.498 + 2037: 17.581 + 2038: 18.527 + 2039: 19.327 + 2040: 19.982 + 2041: 20.502 + 2042: 20.911 + 2043: 21.222 + 2044: 21.448 + 2045: 21.604 + 2046: 21.701 + 2047: 21.752 + 2048: 21.772 + 2049: 21.771 + 2050: 21.761 - Petroleum - 2022: 74.04434804 - 2023: 71.49879131 - 2024: 68.65574047 - 2025: 65.02666729 - 2026: 60.28360617 - 2027: 55.48321389 - 2028: 50.47066188 - 2029: 45.40402314 - 2030: 40.53643516 - 2031: 35.70762412 - 2032: 30.5554031 - 2033: 25.83388586 - 2034: 21.57096479 - 2035: 17.76077072 - 2036: 14.57126362 - 2037: 11.76454965 - 2038: 9.307490012 - 2039: 7.171547064 - 2040: 5.335305757 - 2041: 3.845453143 - 2042: 2.644708118 - 2043: 1.694406957 - 2044: 1.076805078 - 2045: 0.667724326 - 2046: 0.438689889 - 2047: 0.272405402 - 2048: 0.195002807 - 2049: 0.142304059 - 2050: 0.106090039 + Electrolysers + 2022: 0.000 + 2023: 0.558 + 2024: 3.055 + 2025: 86.291 + 2026: 130.798 + 2027: 179.360 + 2028: 235.255 + 2029: 303.150 + 2030: 411.822 + 2031: 453.998 + 2032: 455.656 + 2033: 499.868 + 2034: 544.400 + 2035: 546.578 + 2036: 612.718 + 2037: 602.819 + 2038: 606.687 + 2039: 615.591 + 2040: 664.729 + 2041: 796.863 + 2042: 900.734 + 2043: 993.973 + 2044: 1095.578 + 2045: 1162.225 + 2046: 1223.266 + 2047: 1258.851 + 2048: 1275.415 + 2049: 1321.490 + 2050: 1329.852 - Hydrogen - 2022: 0.008665637 - 2023: 0.010189035 - 2024: 0.012560961 - 2025: 0.015949707 - 2026: 0.018421935 - 2027: 0.021838353 - 2028: 0.026750654 - 2029: 0.031719783 - 2030: 0.133325141 - 2031: 0.237549969 - 2032: 0.346393774 - 2033: 0.486893161 - 2034: 0.645409579 - 2035: 0.829372969 - 2036: 1.032309103 - 2037: 1.222628164 - 2038: 1.435789166 - 2039: 1.674208179 - 2040: 2.018657855 - 2041: 2.452796546 - 2042: 2.829535777 - 2043: 3.094175924 - 2044: 3.373691139 - 2045: 3.565550821 - 2046: 3.681565293 - 2047: 3.791104956 - 2048: 3.867442911 - 2049: 3.944362693 - 2050: 3.947998708 - - Bioenergy - 2022: 3.512886537 - 2023: 3.377818664 - 2024: 3.238947247 - 2025: 3.107587944 - 2026: 2.929259011 - 2027: 2.72324741 - 2028: 2.501197541 - 2029: 2.33927524 - 2030: 2.180307073 - 2031: 2.055237162 - 2032: 1.931170595 - 2033: 1.813811937 - 2034: 1.682571241 - 2035: 1.50542601 - 2036: 1.399214365 - 2037: 1.292510304 - 2038: 1.18625795 - 2039: 1.07555904 - 2040: 0.96520387 - 2041: 0.854827005 - 2042: 0.744434673 - 2043: 0.639614362 - 2044: 0.624410981 - 2045: 0.617114152 - 2046: 0.614578287 - 2047: 0.612069408 - 2048: 0.610021021 - 2049: 0.608027412 - 2050: 0.606035703 - - Electricity - 2022: 35.94381194 - 2023: 36.06186494 - 2024: 36.35850758 - 2025: 36.83997375 - 2026: 37.57741574 - 2027: 38.61975801 - 2028: 40.00863838 - 2029: 41.6935327 - 2030: 43.91554218 - 2031: 45.98192321 - 2032: 48.02241182 - 2033: 50.19708776 - 2034: 52.37522558 - 2035: 54.92243512 - 2036: 57.33254914 - 2037: 59.43050057 - 2038: 61.45301793 - 2039: 63.33642689 - 2040: 65.05045544 - 2041: 66.54649409 - 2042: 67.87146549 - 2043: 69.00722751 - 2044: 69.96278886 - 2045: 70.77192916 - 2046: 71.46123151 - 2047: 72.14521235 - 2048: 72.79739976 - 2049: 72.91740309 - 2050: 72.94932022 + Large industry Fuel Switching + 2022: 28.969 + 2023: 43.454 + 2024: 57.939 + 2025: 72.423 + 2026: 97.249 + 2027: 122.075 + 2028: 146.901 + 2029: 171.727 + 2030: 196.553 + 2031: 218.360 + 2032: 240.167 + 2033: 261.974 + 2034: 283.781 + 2035: 305.588 + 2036: 331.478 + 2037: 357.368 + 2038: 383.258 + 2039: 409.148 + 2040: 435.038 + 2041: 473.026 + 2042: 511.015 + 2043: 549.003 + 2044: 586.991 + 2045: 624.979 + 2046: 624.979 + 2047: 624.979 + 2048: 624.979 + 2049: 624.979 + 2050: 624.979