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pigs.html
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<!DOCTYPE html>
<html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml" lang="" xml:lang="">
<head>
<link rel="shortcut icon" type="image/x-icon" href="img/favicon.ico">
<meta charset="utf-8" />
<meta name="generator" content="pandoc" />
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0, user-scalable=yes" />
<title>pigs</title>
<style>
code{white-space: pre-wrap;}
span.smallcaps{font-variant: small-caps;}
div.columns{display: flex; gap: min(4vw, 1.5em);}
div.column{flex: auto; overflow-x: auto;}
div.hanging-indent{margin-left: 1.5em; text-indent: -1.5em;}
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ul.task-list li input[type="checkbox"] {
width: 0.8em;
margin: 0 0.8em 0.2em -1.6em;
vertical-align: middle;
}
</style>
<link rel="stylesheet" href="main.css" />
<!--[if lt IE 9]>
<script src="//cdnjs.cloudflare.com/ajax/libs/html5shiv/3.7.3/html5shiv-printshiv.min.js"></script>
<![endif]-->
</head>
<body>
<h1
id="how-many-pigs-does-buying-one-killed-pig-kill-work-in-progress">How
many pigs does buying one killed pig kill? (work in progress)</h1>
<p>epistemic status: gabagool</p>
<p>answer: 0.3</p>
<p>What? Isn’t the answer <a href="./vid/speed.mp4">obviously 1</a>?
Well, no. A grumpy version of me would say that this is about as wrong
as saying that buying a killed pig kills no pigs, because the same total
number of pigs gets killed anyway.</p>
<p>Effects that I acknowledge ignoring in this calculation, even though
I put significant probability on these being significant in many
practical cases:</p>
</body>
</html>