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Flush money via PayPal MassPay #1219

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chadwhitacre opened this issue Jan 24, 2018 · 78 comments
Closed

Flush money via PayPal MassPay #1219

chadwhitacre opened this issue Jan 24, 2018 · 78 comments

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@chadwhitacre
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chadwhitacre commented Jan 24, 2018

MassPays

  1. https://www.paypal.com/activity/masspay/MPA-8X3U65VFBYQMW
  2. https://www.paypal.com/activity/masspay/MPA-3SPG7EDFLJ298
  3. https://www.paypal.com/activity/masspay/MPA-SHFNU2CLL6GFE
  4. https://www.paypal.com/activity/masspay/MPA-H4GXTPZZFY8Q4
  5. https://www.paypal.com/activity/masspay/MPA-YWX7H2DCNZ5GQ

Reticketing from #1205 (comment):

Where we have an email address, we can try sending via PayPal even if not explicitly linked to PayPal.

gratipay-bak=# select count(*), sum(balance) volume, email_address is not null as > have_email_address from participants where balance > 0 group by email_address is not null;
┌───────┬──────────┬────────────────────┐
│ count │  volume  │ have_email_address │
├───────┼──────────┼────────────────────┤
│  3162 │ 91861.94 │ f                  │
│   602 │ 12928.67 │ t                  │
└───────┴──────────┴────────────────────┘
(2 rows)

gratipay-bak=#
@Changaco
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SELECT sum(p.balance)
  FROM participants p
 WHERE exists (select 1 from email_addresses e where e.participant_id = p.id)
    OR exists (select 1 from elsewhere e where e.email like '%@%' and e.participant = p.username);
   sum    
----------
 63171.28

@chadwhitacre
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Probably worth individually contacting the top 100 or so folks. Could we clear out half the money that way?

gratipay-bak=# select count(*), sum(balance) from (select username, balance from participants where balance > 1000 order by balance desc) foo;
┌───────┬──────────┐
│ count │   sum    │
├───────┼──────────┤
│    13 │ 24934.11 │
└───────┴──────────┘
(1 row)

gratipay-bak=# select count(*), sum(balance) from (select username, balance from participants where balance > 500 order by balance desc) foo;
┌───────┬──────────┐
│ count │   sum    │
├───────┼──────────┤
│    28 │ 34907.09 │
└───────┴──────────┘
(1 row)

gratipay-bak=# select count(*), sum(balance) from (select username, balance from participants where balance > 200 order by balance desc) foo;
┌───────┬──────────┐
│ count │   sum    │
├───────┼──────────┤
│    90 │ 54300.34 │
└───────┴──────────┘
(1 row)

gratipay-bak=# select count(*), sum(balance) from (select username, balance from participants where balance > 100 order by balance desc) foo;
┌───────┬──────────┐
│ count │   sum    │
├───────┼──────────┤
│   216 │ 71718.69 │
└───────┴──────────┘
(1 row)

gratipay-bak=#

@chadwhitacre
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gratipay-bak=# select sum(balance) from (select username, balance from participants order by balance desc limit 100) foo;
┌──────────┐
│   sum    │
├──────────┤
│ 56240.30 │
└──────────┘
(1 row)

gratipay-bak=#

@chadwhitacre
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On the other hand a lot of that is probably also included in #1219 (comment), so makes sense to first do the general blast via PayPal and then follow up with targeted based on state of play at that point.

@chadwhitacre
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chadwhitacre commented Nov 27, 2018

We have multiple email addresses for some people, for others we have none.

  • generate a list of amount, email address, ..., email address
  • spit out a masspay CSV with amount, email address
  • determine the aggregate amount
  • move enough funds into the PayPal account to cover the masspay
  • publish a blog post describing what we're doing
  • sort out fee downcharge: Flush money via PayPal MassPay #1219 (comment)
  • submit [a test run of] the masspay! with an explanation and link to the blog post
  • ensure that the explanation and link to the blog post look okay
  • submit the masspay! with an explanation and link to the blog post
  • mark successes as complete
  • retry failures with next email address
  • repeat until there are no more remaining balances with available addresses
  • for large balances (threshold TBD), try to track down an email address through manual searching
  • repeat
  • call it a day, see what the remaining total escrow balance is and zoom back out to Dispose of unclaimed balances #1205

@chadwhitacre
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@chadwhitacre
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Well, code and data. Will (cross?)post code publicly as it develops.

@chadwhitacre
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chadwhitacre commented Nov 27, 2018

Per inspection, nobody has more than five addresses on file.

Tooling:

  • SQL query to give balance, email 1, ..., email 5 > payouts.csv
  • script to take payouts.csv and blacklist.csv as inputs and output a MassPay CSV input file
  • script to take MassPay output file and generate/update a blacklist.csv

@chadwhitacre
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gratipay-bak=# \i payout.sql
SELECT 3764
gratipay-bak=# \copy tmp to 'payouts.csv' with csv header
COPY 3764
gratipay-bak=#
  SELECT p.balance
       , (select count(*) from elsewhere e where e.email like '%@%' and e.participant = p.username) as n
       , p.username
       , p.email_address as address_1
       , (select e.email from elsewhere e where e.email like '%@%' and e.participant = p.username limit 1) as address_2
       , (select e.email from elsewhere e where e.email like '%@%' and e.participant = p.username offset 1 limit 1) as address_3
       , (select e.email from elsewhere e where e.email like '%@%' and e.participant = p.username offset 2 limit 1) as address_4
       , (select e.email from elsewhere e where e.email like '%@%' and e.participant = p.username offset 3 limit 1) as address_5
    INTO tmp
    FROM participants p
   WHERE balance > 0
ORDER BY n desc, balance desc;

@chadwhitacre
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To get started, upload a CSV or TXT file of up to 5,000 payment recipients.

Fits in a batch. 👍

@chadwhitacre
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organize your recipient information into the 3 required fields:

• Recipients’ email addresses, mobile phone numbers, or PayPal IDs
• Payment amounts
• Currency type

@chadwhitacre
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Per old logs, currency type is usd

@chadwhitacre
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$ ./genmasspay.py
62072.15
$ cat genmasspay.py
#!/usr/bin/env python3
import csv
from collections import OrderedDict
from decimal import Decimal as D

payouts = csv.reader(open('payouts.csv'))
masspay = csv.writer(open('masspay.csv', 'w+'))
headers = next(payouts)
blacklist = set(open('blacklist.csv').read().splitlines())
total = D('0.00')

for row in payouts:
    balance = row[0]
    addresses = list(OrderedDict.fromkeys(row[3:]))
    for address in addresses:
        if not address or address in blacklist:
            continue
        masspay.writerow([address, balance, 'usd'])
        total += D(balance)
        break

print(total)

@chadwhitacre
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screen shot 2018-11-27 at 5 16 04 pm

@chadwhitacre
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screen shot 2018-11-27 at 5 16 35 pm

@chadwhitacre
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Will give that time to clear (trip fraud?) and write up a blog post!

@chadwhitacre
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💃

@chadwhitacre
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chadwhitacre commented Nov 28, 2018

This evening, I hand-delivered $420 in cash to someone who is friends with someone who had money escrowed with us. 💃

@chadwhitacre
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What about fees on PayPal don't we have to downcharge or somesuch?

@chadwhitacre
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Transfer complete!

screen shot 2018-12-10 at 11 49 16 am

@chadwhitacre
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Prepping a chart for the blog post.

gratipay-bak=# \i charts.sql
UPDATE 2827
UPDATE 720
UPDATE 204
UPDATE 13
UPDATE 2112
┌──────┬──────────┐
│  n   │    s     │
├──────┼──────────┤
│   13 │ 24934.11 │
│  204 │ 46884.58 │
│  720 │ 24591.42 │
│ 2827 │  8380.50 │
└──────┴──────────┘
(4 rows)

┌──────┬──────────┐
│  n   │    s     │
├──────┼──────────┤
│    7 │ 14153.18 │
│  127 │ 29339.36 │
│  422 │ 14244.29 │
│ 1556 │  4335.32 │
└──────┴──────────┘
(4 rows)

gratipay-bak=#
alter table tmp add column bucket int default 0;
update tmp set bucket=0 where balance >= 0 and balance < 10;
update tmp set bucket=1 where balance >= 10 and balance < 100;
update tmp set bucket=2 where balance >= 100 and balance < 1000;
update tmp set bucket=3 where balance >= 1000;

alter table tmp add column has_email bool default false;
update tmp
   set has_email=true
 where coalesce(address_1, address_2, address_3, address_4, address_5) is not null
      ;

select count(balance) n, sum(balance) s from tmp group by bucket order by bucket desc;
select count(balance) n, sum(balance) s from tmp where has_email group by bucket order by bucket desc;

@chadwhitacre
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chadwhitacre commented Dec 10, 2018

gratipay-bak=# select has_email e, sum(balance) s from tmp group by has_email;
┌───┬──────────┐
│ e │    s     │
├───┼──────────┤
│ f │ 42718.46 │
│ t │ 62072.15 │
└───┴──────────┘

@chadwhitacre
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gratipay-bak=# select sum(balance) from tmp;
┌───────────┐
│    sum    │
├───────────┤
│ 104790.61 │
└───────────┘

@chadwhitacre
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chadwhitacre commented Dec 10, 2018

@chadwhitacre
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I've confirmed that I have access to the {paypal,support}@gratipay.com email addresses.

@chadwhitacre chadwhitacre changed the title Flush money via PayPal Flush money via PayPal MassPay Dec 10, 2018
@chadwhitacre
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Hmm ... actually ... maybe we should manually pursue the n=13 that are > $1000 first? And then do a masspay for the long tail?

@chadwhitacre
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Yeah let's do that: #1225.

@chadwhitacre
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Ftr PayPal makes it pretty easy to connect a second email address to an existing account. I just did that for [email protected]. 😬

@chadwhitacre
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https://github.com/gratipay/logs/commit/c02f9d5790db84c9d04d72ca9e8434b3bd921fc3

$ ./genmasspay.py 
               n                $
           ------------- ------------------
  settled  1,523 (40.5%)  61,102.95 (58.3%)
remaining  2,241 (59.5%)  43,687.66 (41.7%)
    total  3,764         104,790.61

  masspay    557 (14.8%)
   target                 13,026.10
remainder               -      0.95
                         ----------
   actual                 13,025.15 (12.4%)
      fee               -    143.73
                         ----------
      net                 12,881.42
$

screen shot 2018-12-17 at 7 10 23 am

@chadwhitacre
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chadwhitacre commented Dec 17, 2018

I've gone through accounts with no email down to $100 and have manually located an email address (mostly by harvesting GitHub and reaching out on Twitter). I have started a transfer of another $20,000 from New Alliance to PayPal (leaving about $23,000 remaining in New Alliance). Once that clears I will process another MassPay. Perhaps I will locate emails for accounts down to $69 to cover the third quartile by volume ...

I am going to manually pay out a few based on representations I made on Twitter that these would go out today/tomorrow.

@chadwhitacre
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https://github.com/gratipay/logs/commit/8afd2aaa92792ea8c75e53f0d2f00f3bf392df4f

Done down to $69. 👍

(env) $ ./genmasspay.py 
               n                $
           ------------- ------------------
  settled  1,554 (41.3%)  65,861.96 (62.9%)
remaining  1,654 (43.9%)  38,928.65 (37.1%)
    total  3,764         104,790.61

  masspay     89 ( 2.4%)
   target                 14,858.58
remainder               -      0.00
                         ----------
   actual                 14,858.58 (14.2%)
      fee               -     87.31
                         ----------
      net                 14,771.27
(env) $

@chadwhitacre
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Made those few individual payouts as well.

@chadwhitacre
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Okay! Got another MassPay ready ...

@chadwhitacre
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MassPay № 2 is still "Processing," making me kinda nervous ...

@chadwhitacre
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Yoi! Called PayPal, stuck on (silent) hold a loooong time (long enough to read the captions on all of the Bergeron's Christmas cards). Sounds like they're stumped! The dude was like, "the resolution specialist's manager is going to give you an email"—like, this was super weird for him. 😂

🤞

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https://github.com/gratipay/logs/commit/ca14c79d1cf2b5aa8b39366248377c9f510353a9

$ ./tick.py 
               n                $
           ------------- ------------------
    ready     91 ( 2.4%)  14,704.73 (14.0%)
  pending    508 (13.5%)  14,337.03 (13.7%)
 complete  1,542 (41.0%)  61,826.70 (59.0%)
   failed  1,623 (43.1%)  13,922.15 (13.3%)
    total  3,764         104,790.61

  masspay     91 ( 2.4%)
   target                 14,704.73
remainder               -      0.00
                         ----------
   actual                 14,704.73 (14.0%)
      fee               -    142.37
                         ----------
      net                 14,562.36
$

@chadwhitacre
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Second masspay processed!

screen shot 2018-12-22 at 8 54 53 pm

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screen shot 2018-12-22 at 11 43 12 pm

@chadwhitacre
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With #1226 we have another batch of masspays to submit! 💃

$ ./tick.py 
                 n                $
             ------------- ------------------
      ready    350 ( 9.3%)   2,959.62 ( 2.8%)
    pending    462 (12.3%)  11,257.56 (10.7%)
   complete  1,683 (44.7%)  81,326.50 (77.6%)
     failed  1,269 (33.7%)   9,246.93 ( 8.8%)
      total  3,764         104,790.61
 incomplete  2,081 (55.3%)  23,464.11 (22.4%)

     volume              1,003,648.55
  disbursed                983,144.06 (98.0)%

    masspay    350 ( 9.3%)
     target                  2,959.62
  remainder               -      0.65
                           ----------
     actual                  2,958.97 ( 2.8%)
        fee               -     56.08
                           ----------
        net                  2,902.89
$

@chadwhitacre
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@chadwhitacre
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Lines up ...

$ ./tick.py 
                 n                $
             ------------- ------------------
      ready    350 ( 9.3%)   2,959.62 ( 2.8%)
    pending    462 (12.3%)  11,257.56 (10.7%)
   complete  1,683 (44.7%)  81,326.50 (77.6%)
     failed  1,269 (33.7%)   9,246.93 ( 8.8%)
      total  3,764         104,790.61
 incomplete  2,081 (55.3%)  23,464.11 (22.4%)

     volume              1,003,648.55
  disbursed                983,144.06 (98.0)%

    masspay    350 ( 9.3%)
     target                  2,959.62
  remainder               -      0.66
                           ----------
     actual                  2,958.96 ( 2.8%)
        fee               -     56.57
                           ----------
        net                  2,902.39
$

screen shot 2019-01-02 at 5 55 30 pm

@chadwhitacre
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Sent!

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Hopefully this one doesn't take as long to post! 😆

@chadwhitacre
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Posted! 💃

screen shot 2019-01-02 at 6 01 54 pm

Fixed a bug in https://github.com/gratipay/logs/commit/b4ae65b5e6f3edc5fc7342deff5f51ac9a55b640 that overstated disbursed as 98% when it's still 97.7%.

$ ./tick.py 
                 n                $
             ------------- ------------------
      ready    350 ( 9.3%)   2,959.62 ( 2.8%)
    pending    462 (12.3%)  11,257.56 (10.7%)
   complete  1,683 (44.7%)  81,326.50 (77.6%)
     failed  1,269 (33.7%)   9,246.93 ( 8.8%)
      total  3,764         104,790.61
 incomplete  2,081 (55.3%)  23,464.11 (22.4%)

     volume              1,003,648.55
  disbursed                980,184.44 (97.7)%

    masspay    350 ( 9.3%)
     target                  2,959.62
  remainder               -      0.66
                           ----------
     actual                  2,958.96 ( 2.8%)
        fee               -     56.57
                           ----------
        net                  2,902.39
$

Can we get to 98% over the next month or two!?!? 🤞

@chadwhitacre
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https://github.com/gratipay/logs/commit/de5d6c33c7a3bba5c2fa0bd56f17e31d010ec311

$ ./tick.py 
                 n                $
             ------------- ------------------
      ready      1 ( 0.0%)       9.23 ( 0.0%)
    pending    590 (15.7%)  12,252.61 (11.7%)
   complete  1,891 (50.2%)  83,093.68 (79.3%)
     failed  1,282 (34.1%)   9,435.09 ( 9.0%)
      total  3,764         104,790.61
 incomplete  1,873 (49.8%)  21,696.93 (20.7%)

     volume              1,003,648.55
  disbursed                981,951.62 (97.8)%

    masspay      1 ( 0.0%)
     target                      9.23
  remainder               -      0.00
                           ----------
     actual                      9.23 ( 0.0%)
        fee               -      0.18
                           ----------
        net                      9.05
$

@chadwhitacre
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Single ready payout handled manually in https://github.com/gratipay/logs/commit/f96489d5cbb268660173170c429102d94ae8da77. 👍

$ ./tick.py 
                 n                $
             ------------- ------------------
      ready      0 ( 0.0%)       0.00 ( 0.0%)
    pending    590 (15.7%)  12,252.61 (11.7%)
   complete  1,892 (50.3%)  83,102.91 (79.3%)
     failed  1,282 (34.1%)   9,435.09 ( 9.0%)
      total  3,764         104,790.61
 incomplete  1,872 (49.7%)  21,687.70 (20.7%)

     volume              1,003,648.55
  disbursed                981,960.85 (97.8)%
$

Okay! Now we wait ...

@chadwhitacre
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chadwhitacre commented Jan 2, 2019

Third MassPay:

https://www.paypal.com/activity/masspay/MPA-SHFNU2CLL6GFE

Consolidated links in issue description.

@chadwhitacre
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First masspay is complete! I think we should wait for the other two to complete before issuing the next masspay.

screen shot 2019-01-19 at 2 54 25 pm

@chadwhitacre
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Second complete.

screen shot 2019-01-21 at 6 10 14 pm

@chadwhitacre
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Third complete!

screen shot 2019-02-01 at 8 29 00 pm

@chadwhitacre
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Fourth MassPay sent!

screen shot 2019-02-01 at 8 37 14 pm

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Worth doing! 💃

screen shot 2019-02-01 at 8 39 51 pm

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Screen Shot 2019-03-13 at 9 15 13 PM

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Screen Shot 2019-03-13 at 9 57 37 PM

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Fifth MassPay complete!

Screen Shot 2019-04-24 at 8 12 49 AM

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@chadwhitacre @jiri-janousek @Changaco and others