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Round 0
Sebastian Funk edited this page Aug 4, 2022
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We have now completed a pilot round (Round 0) which aimed to explore the impact of waning immunity and potential new variants efforts in order to better understand their relative importance for the future of COVID-19 across Europe.
The details for this round identically matched those of the US Scenario Hub, applied to the 32 countries of the European Hub.
- Round 0 overview
- Full scenario details - US Hub
- Formatting and submission - see sidebar for contents of this Wiki
- Submission was due on March 22, 2022
The key dates for round 0 were:
| Round 0 | |
|---|---|
| Due date | March 22 2022 |
| End date for fitting data | March 12 2022. No later than March 12, no earlier than March 5. We specify this to keep projections comparable with the US Scenario Hub. |
Scenario start date (origin_date) |
March 13 2022 (first date of simulated transmission/outcomes) |
| Scenario end date | Earliest: June 11 2022 / Latest: March 18 2023 |
The following codes can be used to identify between scenarios, with one for each value (row) in the submission csv.
| Scenario | Scenario ID |
|---|---|
| Scenario A. Optimistic waning, No immune escape variant | A-2022-02-25 |
| Scenario B. Optimistic waning, New immune escape variant | B-2022-02-25 |
| Scenario C. Pessimistic waning, No immune escape variant | C-2022-02-25 |
| Scenario D. Pessimistic waning, New immune escape variant | D-2022-02-25 |
See also data links for cross-European data sources.