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Global Polio Eradication Initiative

Develop model to predict polio outbreak risks and recommend optimal vaccination strategies, focusing on high-risk areas to maximize the impact of the Global Polio Eradication Initiative.

Goal 03 Goal 10

Decision makers

  • Public Health Officials
  • International Health Organizations

Objectives

To optimize vaccination strategies and resource allocation to areas with the highest risk of polio outbreaks.

Interactive application

(none)

Data attributes

Context

The situation decision makers are in when they have to make a decision can be described by the following attributes:

  1. Region: Categorical (Africa, Southeast Asia, Eastern Mediterranean, Western Pacific, Americas, Europe)
  2. PopulationDensity: Numerical (people per square kilometer)
  3. VaccinationCoverage: Numerical (percentage of the population that has received the polio vaccine)
  4. HistoricalOutbreakData: Numerical (number of polio cases reported in the last 5 years)
  5. HealthcareAccessLevel: Categorical (Low, Medium, High)
  6. EconomicStatus: Categorical (Low-income, Lower-middle-income, Upper-middle-income, High-income)
  7. WaterSanitationFacilities: Categorical (Poor, Moderate, Good)
  8. PublicHealthPolicies: Categorical (Weak, Moderate, Strong)
  9. Season: Categorical (Dry, Rainy)
  10. RecentVaccinationCampaigns: Numerical (number of campaigns in the last 2 years)

Actions

Decision makers can take the following decisions:

  1. VaccinationCampaignScale: Categorical (Local, Regional, National)
  2. TargetedAgeGroups: Categorical (Infants, Children, AllAges)
  3. HealthWorkerTraining: Categorical (Basic, Advanced)
  4. SurveillanceEnhancement: Categorical (Yes, No)
  5. CommunityEngagementLevel: Categorical (Low, Medium, High)

Outcomes

Decision makers are evaluated on the following outcomes:

  1. OutbreakRiskReduction: Numerical (percentage reduction in outbreak risk) (Maximize)
  2. CoverageImprovement: Numerical (percentage increase in vaccination coverage) (Maximize)
  3. Cost: Numerical (estimated cost of the vaccination campaign in USD) (Minimize)

Data

(none)

Code

(none)

References

(none)

Discussion

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