bestscenario.json

{
"modelname": "Colorado",
  "totalpop": 5694302,
  "incubation_period": 3.0,
  "prediagnosis_period": 3.8,
  "chart_min": 80,
  "chart_period": 400,
  "initial_date": "2020-01-27",
  "initial_r0": 3.0,
  "r0_shifts":
  [
    {"date": "2020-03-13", "r0": 2.8},
    {"date": "2020-03-14", "r0": 2.55},
    {"date": "2020-03-16", "r0": 2.05},
    {"date": "2020-03-17", "r0": 1.55},
    {"date": "2020-03-20", "r0": 1.35},
    {"date": "2020-03-26", "r0": 1.2}
  ],
  "initial_values": {
    "susceptible": 5695999,
    "infected": 0,
    "infectious": 1
  },
  "age_distribution": {
    "0-9": 0.1184998,
    "10-19": 0.1310645,
    "20-29": 0.1461177,
    "30-39": 0.1456213,
    "40-49": 0.1303838,
    "50-59": 0.1266992,
    "60-69": 0.1090715,
    "70-79": 0.0612498,
    "80+": 0.0312923
  },
  "age_projection": {
    "0-9": {
      "p_hospitalized": 0.001,
      "p_noncrit": 0.95,
      "p_urgent_icu": 0.05,
      "p_icu_vent": 0.75,
      "p_icu_death": 0.5
    },
    "10-19": {
      "p_hospitalized": 0.003,
      "p_noncrit": 0.95,
      "p_urgent_icu": 0.05,
      "p_icu_vent": 0.75,
      "p_icu_death": 0.5
    },
    "20-29": {
      "p_hospitalized": 0.012,
      "p_noncrit": 0.95,
      "p_urgent_icu": 0.05,
      "p_icu_vent": 0.75,
      "p_icu_death": 0.5
    },
    "30-39": {
      "p_hospitalized": 0.032,
      "p_noncrit": 0.95,
      "p_urgent_icu": 0.05,
      "p_icu_vent": 0.75,
      "p_icu_death": 0.5
    },
    "40-49": {
      "p_hospitalized": 0.049,
      "p_noncrit": 0.937,
      "p_urgent_icu": 0.063,
      "p_icu_vent": 0.75,
      "p_icu_death": 0.5
    },
    "50-59": {
      "p_hospitalized": 0.102,
      "p_noncrit": 0.818,
      "p_urgent_icu": 0.122,
      "p_icu_vent": 0.75,
      "p_icu_death": 0.5
    },
    "60-69": {
      "p_hospitalized": 0.166,
      "p_noncrit": 0.726,
      "p_urgent_icu": 0.274,
      "p_icu_vent": 0.75,
      "p_icu_death": 0.5
    },
    "70-79": {
      "p_hospitalized": 0.243,
      "p_noncrit": 0.568,
      "p_urgent_icu": 0.432,
      "p_icu_vent": 0.75,
      "p_icu_death": 0.5
    },
    "80+": {
      "p_hospitalized": 0.273,
      "p_noncrit": 0.211,
      "p_urgent_icu": 0.709,
      "p_icu_vent": 0.75,
      "p_icu_death": 0.5
    }
  }
}